State Climatologist Says Weather Pattern Likely To Stay the Same

As the forecast continues to call for the chance of rain on a regular basis, Georgia’s state climatologist says the wet pattern shows signs of continuing over the weeks ahead.

Downtown Toccoa has already received more than 53 inches of rain.

That is more than all of last year and according to State Climatologist Bill Murphey, it is just a couple of inches below the area’s normal rainfall for an entire year.

Murphey said that even just normal rainfall for the rest of the year would result in yearly rainfall totals for 2013 that are way above the normal for an average year in Toccoa.

“If you assume you carried on with normal rainfall amounts for say the remainder of 2013, Toccoa would end up with around 75 to 77 inches for a year, which is about a 20-inch surplus,” said Murphey.

July has also been an especially wet summer month, which Murphey attributed to a weather pattern that Georgia does not typically experience for this long during the summer.

“Normally we get more of the influence of the Bermuda range, Atlantic high-pressure system and it extends further west too, which cuts off the Gulf,” said Murphey. “But we really have not had that this year. Basically, we have been stuck in a trough pattern and that is why we have been getting these big shots of moisture coming up.”

Murphey said that while the area may get a mini-break here and there, he does not see the weather pattern changing over the short term.

But what about the long term?

“Tough to tell right now, but the signs are pointing right now towards this neutral pattern continuing through the summer into the fall and as long as we are in this neutral pattern, we can get swings across the Southeast in temperature and rainfall amounts,” said Murphey. “I do not see any signs of that pattern changing.”

Murphey said Georgia could also see even more rainfall depending on tropical activity this summer and he says that forecasts have been calling for an active tropical season in the Atlantic as the season moves along.